Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.044754 3.376910 3.736222 4.154773 4.630156 5.154710 5.779249
2025-05-04 2.597720 3.050666 3.575159 4.231211 5.035160 5.995012 7.237886
2025-05-11 2.298671 2.815087 3.443994 4.274125 5.352753 6.723019 8.621639
2025-05-18 2.079170 2.632804 3.334887 4.303171 5.623874 7.391807 9.988329
2025-05-25 1.852912 2.409654 3.138980 4.181336 5.661022 7.730255 10.923392
2025-06-01 1.694883 2.256773 3.014439 4.132599 5.778677 8.175206 12.048575
2025-06-08 1.569872 2.135008 2.917160 4.105628 5.914661 8.648915 13.265177
2025-06-15 1.512461 2.100973 2.937104 4.245800 6.307293 9.546516 15.272097
2025-06-22 1.419069 2.006383 2.859333 4.228191 6.448405 10.055786 16.692848
2025-06-29 1.330082 1.910809 2.771140 4.183764 6.537454 10.482555 18.019829
2025-07-06 1.210745 1.761075 2.589121 3.973345 6.329295 10.377319 18.349634
2025-07-13 1.154377 1.703596 2.545137 3.981999 6.490081 10.929305 19.998999
2025-07-20 1.115745 1.672429 2.542305 4.062058 6.789161 11.776858 22.393925
2025-07-27 1.078940 1.641591 2.537540 4.138079 7.088721 12.662501 25.023291
2025-08-03 1.038557 1.602020 2.515043 4.180194 7.328582 13.460464 27.602861
2025-08-10 0.998990 1.561001 2.486747 4.208547 7.543591 14.232992 30.262186
2025-08-17 0.937138 1.478980 2.382893 4.089889 7.459219 14.375809 31.461020
2025-08-24 0.892248 1.422967 2.320270 4.042416 7.510827 14.810473 33.447156
2025-08-31 0.854160 1.376383 2.271106 4.016143 7.602190 15.341294 35.775109
2025-09-07 0.843530 1.376676 2.305194 4.152684 8.046125 16.718790 40.619960
2025-09-14 0.810986 1.336467 2.263160 4.135532 8.159020 17.345224 43.531722
2025-09-21 0.776980 1.291829 2.210239 4.092258 8.210003 17.829954 46.138605
2025-09-28 0.723365 1.209318 2.082373 3.887264 7.881055 17.347352 45.771272